GENERAL COMMENT: Obama is doing now
what’s he’s done thus far. He’s doing only enough to silence his
critics and to convey the impression of U.S. action when, in reality,
there is none.
· The
alleged “moderate Sunni Muslim Force” in Syria is estimated to be 40
“reliable” men with rifles, if that. In the foreseeable future
offensive operations by these elements against the Assad Regime are
unlikely.
· If
these moderates attempted offensive operations against the Assad Regime
they would require massive air strikes to support them. If we opted to
do this we would end up assisting Erdogan to install a Sunni-Islamist
regime in Damascus allied with the Turks. The security implications of
this action for Israel are obvious and ominous.
· In
addition, a deliberate air campaign against the Assad Regime could also
trigger Russian intervention to support Damascus with potent air
defense technology, as well as, selected ground forces. That would be a
game changer. U.S. Air Power would be at severe risk of being shot
down with all that being shot down entails including U.S. pilots falling
into Assad’s hands.
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