MowMag.com 12/19/2022

 

Mowmag.com 12/19/2022

Article printed in Italian, translated to English

US Colonel Macgregor:  “Ukrainian collapse is inevitable”. And on the sanctions: "They do not lead to a reasonable result"

by Roberto Vivaldelli

December 19, 2022

https://mowmag.com/attualita/il-colonnello-americano-macgregor-il-collasso-ucraino-e-inevitabile-e-sulle-sanzioni-non-portano-a-un-risultato-ragionevole

"President Putin has no need to employ nuclear weapons in a conflict that Russia is clearly winning and which will end sooner rather than later through offensive military action." To say it is Colonel Douglas Macgregor a veteran of the army of the United States of America. As a military man, he doesn't like half measures: "It's only in the West, where people are systematically fed misleading and false information about the true state of affairs in Ukraine, that anyone thinks President Putin would do such a thing."

“There's no doubt that Ukraine 's fatigue is starting to take its toll on the Washington community. It's not just a question of money. It is the recognition that Russian combat power is getting stronger with each passing day while the Ukrainian one is weakening. No, speaking to Mow is not Professor Alessandro Orsini or even an emissary of the Kremlin, but Colonel Douglas Macgregor, a veteran of the United States Army, proposed in 2020 by former President Donald Trump as US Ambassador to Germany (an appointment that was then blocked in the Senate by the Democrats). 

The Colonel, now a commentator for Fox News, comments on the statements of the US Chief of Staff, Mark Milley, according to which «the chances that a Ukrainian military victory – understood as the expulsion of the Russians from all of Ukraine including Crimea – happen soon is not high, militarily». Words supported by a recent New York Times investigation, according to which, after almost ten months of conflict in Ukraine, war aid from the United States and NATO allies may have reached its limit, and from an exclusive report by Foreign Policy which underlines how the weapons donated by the West to Kiev are no longer sufficient to allow for a victory for Ukraine.

«Milley – explains Colonel Macgregor – leaked his advice to the president to the New York Times because he is deeply concerned that the inevitable collapse of Ukraine under the weight of Russia's upcoming winter offensives will result in pressure on Washington to commit the forces of US land to act in western Ukraine». However, Macgregor observes, « the American ground forces are not prepared for such an eventuality and Milley knows it. He reveals how fearful Milley is of what President Biden might ask of US forces in Europe in the future ». All this happens as the Ukrainian Defense Minister, Oleksii Reznikov, has sounded the alarm about a new possible major offensive in Ukraineby Russia in early 2023. According to Reznikov, in fact, although Kiev is now able to successfully defend itself against Russian missile attacks, evidence is emerging that the Kremlin is preparing a new broad offensive. Meanwhile, the Russian bombing of Ukrainian infrastructure is, according to Macgregor, potentially lethal for Kiev: " The damage to the electricity grid and fuel distribution in Ukraine is fatal," he underlines.

However , the Colonel rules out the hypothesis that Russian President Vladimir Putin could use an atomic warhead : «President Putin does not need to use nuclear weapons in a conflict that Russia is clearly winning and which will end sooner rather than later, through offensive military action. It is only in the West – he accuses – where people are systematically fed misleading and false information about the true state of affairs in Ukraine, that anyone thinks President Putin would do such a thing. Even more contemptuous is his judgment on the European Parliament's decision to designate Russia a "state sponsor of terrorism": "These offensive actions combined with the sanctions make a reasonable outcome nearly impossible . First, there is a loss of trust. The admission by Merkel – who said in a recent interview that everyone knew it was a frozen conflict, that the problem had not been resolved, but it was precisely this that bought Ukraine precious time – it has simply reinforced the perception in Moscow that none of the current Western European or American political elites can be trusted. Second, why should Moscow bother listening to what Washington or its closest allies are saying?'